Learning From Cigarette Burns

I'm working on getting some of my Sims into Sims 3 but I need an eye other than mine.  Inspired by Aikea's comparison pics of Jacob (god she got soooo close), I thought I'd troll for other people's opinions.  This is Lucien Black ... aka Lucifer by Mousey Blue.  *I* think he's pretty damn close.  What do you think?